US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
9.0 puan (24s)JeopolitikOne-OffMiddle East26g
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
September 30 72%+4.5pt5 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
≤74 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺3 Mn
Likidite
₺6 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
2.0 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
9
Piyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
2 Eyl 26 0:2430 Eyl 26 23:59
Trendler
Kurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred).
- The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day.
- This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed where the most recent qualifying military action occurred on or before the specified end date (ET).
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran.