Javier Milei - Argentina's president - First Term Mega-market

Inflation YZ Politika1y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibre

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24 Haz 2026 12:03 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2

Güncel topluluk tahmini

He leaves office early from his first term, i.e. not completing the usual 4 years 20.2%

70 seçenek arasında lider

Tahminciler

162

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

31 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

18 Ara 23 17:4517 Ara 27 6:59

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

He leaves office early from his first term, i.e. not completing the usual 4 years20%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

Javier Milei is bringing a new style of leadership to Argentina.

This is a collection of a ton of simple binary markets about what may happen during his first term of four years!
Have fun betting even 1m on each, then tune in to your notifications system to get updated as we see how things go over the next few years! Best of luck to Argentina no matter where that resides.
Things he did during the entire term, including before creation of this market, all count, based on the beginning of his term; for example, if he has already left Argentina during his presidency, then the claim about him leaving would YES.
In general the claims end in Dec 2027 at the normal time of the succession of whoever wins the next election.
Most claims relating to a "term" relate to the original planned term of 4 years; if that is changed, we still cover that time period as best we can preserving the intent, which is always to make the claim as "meaningful" as possible. i.e. to avoid resolving on technicalities only a lawyer would care about, but rather, as long as it doesn't go against the written text, to go by what is meant by the term. i.e. if we say "he dies from the bite of a poisonous snake" we would not be pedantic and say "actually, only venomous snakes can kill him; poisonous is a term for something which if you contact/eat it, you can die".

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Kurallar

Javier Milei is bringing a new style of leadership to Argentina.

This is a collection of a ton of simple binary markets about what may happen during his first term of four years!
Have fun betting even 1m on each, then tune in to your notifications system to get updated as we see how things go over the next few years! Best of luck to Argentina no matter where that resides.
Things he did during the entire term, including before creation of this market, all count, based on the beginning of his term; for example, if he has already left Argentina during his presidency, then the claim about him leaving would YES.
In general the claims end in Dec 2027 at the normal time of the succession of whoever wins the next election.
Most claims relating to a "term" relate to the original planned term of 4 years; if that is changed, we still cover that time period as best we can preserving the intent, which is always to make the claim as "meaningful" as possible. i.e. to avoid resolving on technicalities only a lawyer would care about, but rather, as long as it doesn't go against the written text, to go by what is meant by the term. i.e. if we say "he dies from the bite of a poisonous snake" we would not be pedantic and say "actually, only venomous snakes can kill him; poisonous is a term for something which if you contact/eat it, you can die".

Javier Milei - Argentina's president - First Term Mega-market

Inflation YZ Politika1y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibre

Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler

24 Haz 2026 12:03 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2

Güncel topluluk tahmini

He leaves office early from his first term, i.e. not completing the usual 4 years 20.2%

70 seçenek arasında lider

Tahminciler

162

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

31 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

18 Ara 23 17:4517 Ara 27 6:59

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

He leaves office early from his first term, i.e. not completing the usual 4 years20%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

Javier Milei is bringing a new style of leadership to Argentina.

This is a collection of a ton of simple binary markets about what may happen during his first term of four years!
Have fun betting even 1m on each, then tune in to your notifications system to get updated as we see how things go over the next few years! Best of luck to Argentina no matter where that resides.
Things he did during the entire term, including before creation of this market, all count, based on the beginning of his term; for example, if he has already left Argentina during his presidency, then the claim about him leaving would YES.
In general the claims end in Dec 2027 at the normal time of the succession of whoever wins the next election.
Most claims relating to a "term" relate to the original planned term of 4 years; if that is changed, we still cover that time period as best we can preserving the intent, which is always to make the claim as "meaningful" as possible. i.e. to avoid resolving on technicalities only a lawyer would care about, but rather, as long as it doesn't go against the written text, to go by what is meant by the term. i.e. if we say "he dies from the bite of a poisonous snake" we would not be pedantic and say "actually, only venomous snakes can kill him; poisonous is a term for something which if you contact/eat it, you can die".

İlgili Piyasalar

Who will offer the most canonical compute price index at the end of 2026?

₺9,5 B

Ornn: 23.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

₺2,4 B

0 (0 bps): 82.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?

₺1,1 B

2.50% or less: 5.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which state laws will be enacted in 2026?

₺0

$15 Minimum Wage by 2029: 25%

KALSHI

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

₺133,8 B

Anthropic: 22%

KALSHI

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

₺3,5 B

Evet: 17%

POLYMARKET

Bu konularda aktif

BitcoinBTC$64,466.02+0.68%

SolanaSOL$75.09+1.40%

EthereumETH$1,885.53+1.48%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0736+6.11%

BNBBNB$571.35+1.11%

Artificial Superintelligence AllianceFET$0.1589+5.15%

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Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto News

Polymarket prices 99.95% odds BTC tops $52K by July 16 after cooler CPIBlockchain.News

US inflation falls to 3.5% as Bitcoin rebounds toward $65KCrypto News

Kurallar

Javier Milei is bringing a new style of leadership to Argentina.

This is a collection of a ton of simple binary markets about what may happen during his first term of four years!
Have fun betting even 1m on each, then tune in to your notifications system to get updated as we see how things go over the next few years! Best of luck to Argentina no matter where that resides.
Things he did during the entire term, including before creation of this market, all count, based on the beginning of his term; for example, if he has already left Argentina during his presidency, then the claim about him leaving would YES.
In general the claims end in Dec 2027 at the normal time of the succession of whoever wins the next election.
Most claims relating to a "term" relate to the original planned term of 4 years; if that is changed, we still cover that time period as best we can preserving the intent, which is always to make the claim as "meaningful" as possible. i.e. to avoid resolving on technicalities only a lawyer would care about, but rather, as long as it doesn't go against the written text, to go by what is meant by the term. i.e. if we say "he dies from the bite of a poisonous snake" we would not be pedantic and say "actually, only venomous snakes can kill him; poisonous is a term for something which if you contact/eat it, you can die".