30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term?
FedOne-OffEnflasyonTahviller ve Hazine BonolarıPolitikaABD Siyaseti2y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 98.9%
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18
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
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6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis30 May 25 19:20 UTC19 Oca 29 11:59 UTC
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KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond reaches or exceeds 5.6% at any point during Donald Trump's second term as President of the United States.
- Trump's second term began on January 20, 2025, and is scheduled to end on January 20, 2029.
- The yield data will be verified using official sources such as the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rates (tradingeconomics.com) or the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (fred.stlouisfed.org).
- If the yield does not reach 5.6% during this period, the market will resolve to "No."
- The 30-year Treasury yield reflects investor sentiment about long-term economic growth and inflation expectations.
