KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Before Jan 1, 2031 75%-7.0pt5 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
48 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺18,1 B
Likidite
₺251,9 B
Orta likiditeSpread
6.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
23 Tem 26 17:00 UTC1 Oca 31 04:59 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
KalshiDouble digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsKevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWarsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Açık piyasalar
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt54.5%
- No change43.6%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺380,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,1 Mn
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.5%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt46.5%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.3%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,3 Mn
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps52.9%
- Fed maintains rate43.1%
- Hike >25bps2%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺90,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,2 Mn
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase66%
- No change30.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.5pt1.9%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before Jan 1, 2031 için 75% fiyatlıyor.
- Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2031.
- Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.