KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkBefore Jan 1, 2030 9%5 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺0
Likidite
₺149,7 B
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
13 dakika önce guncellendi
22 Tem 26 15:351 Oca 27 4:59
Trendler
0%
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Before Jan 1, 20272%
Platformları karşılaştır· Before Jan 1, 2030
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketGenel en iyi%86 eşleşme · oto | Orta | 9% | — | ₺12 B | ₺1,3 Mn | 13 dakika önce | Aç → |
| KalshiBu sayfa | Düşük | 9% | — | ₺0 | ₺149,7 B | 13 dakika önce |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Warsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
5ay
9%
5%
64 • Orta kaliteDar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺254 B
24s Hacim₺12 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$2522 Tem6g veri27 Tem
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
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If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.