KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Before Jan 1, 2028 17%3 seçenek arasında lider
Before Jan 1, 2028 17%Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$18,4 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Piyasa verileri
22 dakika önce güncellendi
22 Tem 26 15:26 UTC1 Oca 27 15:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before Jan 1, 2028
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
What will Kevin Warsh say during his December press conference?
KalshiWill Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiKevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?
PolymarketKurallar
If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:President of the United StatesChair of the Federal ReserveThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCC-SPAN
- A "try to fire" includes any of the following: The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal The following do NOT qualify: Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
