Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
0.7 puan (24s)FedOne-OffPolitikaUS Politics3ay
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 95%
Piyasa kalitesi
63 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺66 B
Likidite
₺1,2 Mn
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
6.3% / 12.0%
Spread
5.7 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
12 Oca 26 15:00 UTC1 Oca 27 15:00 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by which date?
PolymarketDouble digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsKevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiJerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
KalshiPredicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
PolymarketKevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:CNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCC-SPANofficial transcripts from Congressional hearingsthe White HouseJerome Powellthe Office of Management and Budgetthe Department of Justicethe Federal RegisterThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBS
- A "try to fire" includes **any** of the following:
- - The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; - Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; - Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; - The White House officially announces termination; - Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; - Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
- The following do **NOT** qualify:
- - Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; - Expressions of dissatisfaction; - Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; - Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; - Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; - Unsent letters ordering termination
- This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.
Açık piyasalar
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt42.3%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt1.9%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺95,1 Mn
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53.5%
- No change-2.0pt45.5%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt50.9%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42.6%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺30,7 Mn
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.4pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.5pt2%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.2pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.5pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.1pt1%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.8pt2.9%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 95% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.