KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
2.6% to 3.0% 20.2%14 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺280,5 B
Orta likiditeSpread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
8 Haz 26 21:30 UTC28 Şub 31 13:29 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
If the United States real GDP growth in 2030 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2030.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2030 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2030 GDP in early 2031.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “the named outcome” includes 6.1%, and “the named outcome” includes 0.0%.
Açık piyasalar
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-2.0pt45.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺86,4 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺30,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mn
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-3.0pt58%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺604,3 B
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes22%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺409,3 B
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺371,4 B
- Recession this year?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI core in August
- Unemployment in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- US real GDP growth in 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2.6% to 3.0% için 20% fiyatlıyor.
- US real GDP growth in 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- US real GDP growth in 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 28 Şubat 2031.
- US real GDP growth in 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the United States real GDP growth in 2030 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.