KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
2.1% to 2.5% 15%14 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
48 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺812 B
Orta likiditeSpread
5.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
8 Haz 26 20:00 UTC28 Şub 28 13:29 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
US real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2036?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2028?
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 2.5% in Q4 2027?
ForecastExWhat will be Argentina's average annual real GDP growth during the presidency of Javier Milei?
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in 2029?
KalshiKurallar
If the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2027.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2027 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2027 GDP in early 2028.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “the named outcome” includes 6.1%, and “the named outcome” includes 0.0%.
Açık piyasalar
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺75,8 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺31,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,9 Mn
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes23%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺620 B
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-4.0pt56%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺678,5 B
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺997,4 B
- CPI in September
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- US real GDP growth in 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2.1% to 2.5% için 15% fiyatlıyor.
- US real GDP growth in 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- US real GDP growth in 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 28 Şubat 2028.
- US real GDP growth in 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.