KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 98%
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺1,1 Mn
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
11 Mar 26 20:00 UTC20 Eki 26 12:29 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketWhen will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
Manifold MarketsHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Polymarket2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiKurallar
If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S. Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:U.S. Treasury / OMB
Açık piyasalar
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt52.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺90,4 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺32 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,6 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺921,5 B
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP-23.0pt51%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No76%
- Yes+3.0pt24%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺554,2 B
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 98% fiyatlıyor.
- U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 20 Ekim 2026.
- U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S. Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.