Balance of Power After the 2026 Midterms
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 2026SmarketsVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados verificados limitadosAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 7 de out. de 2026, 16:20 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidade implícita atualDemocrats Senate + Democrats House 62.9%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
19 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
41,2 €
Liquidez
12,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 dias
DesatualizadoTendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
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KalshiRegras
Resolves based on the official results of the 2026 United States midterm elections.
- House Control: Achieved by the party winning a strict majority of voting seats.
- Senate Control: Achieved by the party holding more than half of the voting members, or exactly half plus the tie-breaking Vice President.
- Party Affiliation: Determined by ballot listing at the time the race is called.
- Independent/unaffiliated candidates count toward the party they have most recently expressed intent to caucus with.
- Tie-Breakers (Ambiguity): House: Resolves based on the party of the first elected Speaker of the House.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 61%
- Também disponível em PredictIt — What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election? · Dem. House & Senate 60%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? · Democrats sweep 59%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 62%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms? · Democrats Sweep 63%
