PredictItVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução não verificadosRetail prediction exchange
Probabilidade implícita atual
38.8% or higher 99%Líder entre 9 opções
Metodologia
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo de pergunta
-
Volume 24h
—
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
25/09/26, 15:18 UTC2/10/26, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 30?
PredictItWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketWill the 47th President reach a worse net approval rating than Biden?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiRegras
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify President Trump's average Decision Desk HQ job approval rating at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the number stating "Approve," available upon launch of this market at https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/polls/presidential-approval/donald-j-trump-5/national/lv-rv-adults ("the Settlement Source"), at the box labeled as "Approve," and rounded to the nearest tenth of a percent as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the live number labeled "Approve" will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 10/02/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.6pt15%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.9%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.3pt92%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8%
- Volume total
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-2.0pt60.6%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep+0.2pt8.1%
+1 mais resultados
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-3.0pt63%
- Susan Collins+3.0pt37%
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- € 393,6 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- March 31+1.5pt80%
- December 31+2.5pt66%
- November 30+1.0pt49%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2??
- A PredictIt cota 38.8% or higher em 99% em 25 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2? é resolvido?
- Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2? é liquidado?
- A PredictIt liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify President Trump's average Decision Desk HQ job approval rating at the End Date listed below.