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  3. Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

1.1% (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaMiddle EastEurope18d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 6%+0.0%
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

145,7 €

Liquidez

3,7 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

2.6% / 9.8%

Spread

276.9%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+3.6%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

18/11/25, 16:4830/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes6%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
  • Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
  • Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.