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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaEurope3a
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Italy
Italy 5%
Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado

24 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

79,3 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

2.5% / 4.5%

Spread

80.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 9 minutos

18/02/25, 15:001/01/30, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Italy5%

Regras

If Italy votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Germany votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If France votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Spain votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Poland votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Hungary votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Regras

If Italy votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Germany votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If France votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Spain votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Poland votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Hungary votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.