Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 97%+9.4pt
Não 97%+9.4ptQualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,2 mil €
Liquidez
1,8 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
1.3% / 3.8%
Spread
2.5 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
1
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
24/09/26, 19:19 UTC6/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 0,1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) states in its tropical cyclone information that the center of Tropical Storm Surigae (JMA designation T2626; PAGASA local name "Queenie") made landfall on or crossed Japanese land, or publishes for T2626 a "Center position" under an "Analysis" heading whose coordinates fall on Japanese land, by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Either one is sufficient on its own.
- A qualifying Center position counts however briefly the center remains over land, and counts on an island of any size.
- "Japan" refers to all territory under the administration of Japan, including the four main islands (Honshu, Hokkaido, Kyushu, and Shikoku), Okinawa, the Ryukyu Islands, the Ogasawara Islands, and all other Japanese islands.
- "Center position" is the field of that exact name in JMA's tropical cyclone information for T2626, and it is the only coordinate this market reads.