KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sienna Spiro 93%Líder entre 26 opções
Qualidade do mercado
38 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0,9 €
Liquidez
7,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
31/08/26, 17:45 UTC31/12/26, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
MTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
KalshiMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
KalshiMTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
KalshiWill someone perform a wedding ceremony on the moon by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX perform Falcon 9 commercial rocket launches after 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRegras
If Madonna performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) the MTV Video Music Awards 2026 during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:official broadcaster of the MTV Video Music AwardsFox NewsMSNBCABCCBSBillboardVarietyRolling StoneCNNMTVReutersofficial websiteEntertainment WeeklyDeadlinethe Associated PressThe Hollywood Reporterofficial social media accounts of confirmed performers
- Additional clarification(s):
- Madonna appears on stage or in the official broadcast or stream; AND
- Madonna actively and perceptibly contributes to a musical performance by singing (including audible lead or backing vocals), rapping, playing a musical instrument, DJ-ing, or conducting a live band; AND
- Is either a scheduled performer, a guest appearance during another artist's set, or is formally announced as a performer by official event organizers or Madonna's official representatives.
- Note: This Contract may resolve on the announcement of Madonna’s anticipated performance at MTV Video Music Awards 2026.
Mercados abertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 103,1 mil
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- € 57,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 57,4 mil
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- € 817,9 mil
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform?
- A Kalshi cota Sienna Spiro em 93% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform é resolvido?
- MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Madonna performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) the MTV Video Music Awards 2026 during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.