PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 21:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
October 31 100%+1.9ptLíder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
46 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
2,4 mil €
Liquidez
4,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
4
Variação 7d
+61.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado4/02/26, 18:131/11/26, 3:59
Tendências
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.494901° N, 37.365342° E in Toretske, Donetsk Oblast, by the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Mercados abertos
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt70%
- New People (NL)-1.0pt24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 20,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 221,8 mil
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt24%
- October 31-2.0pt13%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-0.5pt15%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.3pt1%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Volume total
- € 301,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 44,6 mil
POLYMARKETWill Russia enter Hannivka by which date?
- December 31+16.9pt98%
- September 30+39.0pt97%
- August 31-5.0pt0%
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt39%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.1pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Will Russia capture Sumy by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia capture Toretske by which date??
- A Polymarket cota October 31 em 100% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Russia capture Toretske by which date? é resolvido?
- Will Russia capture Toretske by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Will Russia capture Toretske by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.494901° N, 37.365342° E in Toretske, Donetsk Oblast, by the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.