PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 30%+0.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
70 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
15,6 mil €
Liquidez
13,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
5.2% / 6.0%
Spread
0.8 pt
Spread apertadoComments
1
Variação 7d
+0.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
28/05/26, 19:411/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kup'yans'k-Pivdennyi railroad station (49.712076° N, 37.606819° E) located on Pryvokzalna vulytsia, in Kupiansk, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Mercados abertos
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-14.0pt25%
- October 31-21.0pt13%
- August 31-18.6pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,1 mi
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt71%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt6%
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 202713%
- December8%
- September 30,2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 18,3 mi
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- December 31+3.5pt53%
- October 31-0.5pt21%
- September 30+0.5pt9%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETNATO downs another Russian drone by which date?
- August 31+1.3pt100%
- July 31-1.4pt0%
- Volume total
- € 186,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 56,6 mil
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- December 3118%
- October 318%
- May 310%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 959,9 mil
- Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia capture Kupiansk by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31 em 30% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Will Russia capture Kupiansk by which date? é resolvido?
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Russia capture Kupiansk by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kup'yans'k-Pivdennyi railroad station (49.712076° N, 37.606819° E) located on Pryvokzalna vulytsia, in Kupiansk, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.