PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 92%+0.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
68 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
758,5 €
Liquidez
7,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
8
Variação 7d
+0.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
12/08/26, 20:42 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi officially announces his retirement from club-level professional soccer by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Messi is retiring or indefinitely departing from club-level professional soccer with the intention of not participating in any club competition.
- The announcement must come from Messi himself or official representatives thereof.
- Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure from club competition intended to be effective within 12 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave club soccer in 2 years," nor "I will not play forever," would qualify).
- If Messi retires in a qualifying manner but maintains, renews, or announces his intention to participate in international soccer (e.g., for the Argentina national team), that retirement will still qualify.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 8%.
Referencia CoinRithm 8% · 2 plataformas · 0 pt de dispersao entre venues