PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
8-10 41%Líder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
59 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
37,3 €
Liquidez
2,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-7.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
26/08/26, 22:10 UTC30/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
- Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized.
- Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
- A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
- This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized.
- If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- € 224,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 160,5 mil
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 344,9 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Claude go down on __ days in September??
- A Polymarket cota 8-10 em 41% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Claude go down on __ days in September? é resolvido?
- Will Claude go down on __ days in September? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will Claude go down on __ days in September? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.