Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 98%+0.4pt
Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
800,4 €
Liquidez
12 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
1.7% / 2.6%
Spread
0.9 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-0.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
7/08/26, 00:53 UTC20/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Manifold MarketsMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
FutuurIf Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
