PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualNone before 2027 39.5%+0.3ptLíder entre 29 opções
Qualidade do mercado
56 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
25,6 €
Liquidez
18,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
46.9% / 47.5%
Spread
0.6 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
-0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
22/05/26, 19:1131/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
None before 202747%
Comparar plataformas· Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMelhor no geral80% de correspondência · auto | Média | 30% | 0pt | 2,1 mil € | 54,4 mil € | há 11 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Média | 34% | +4pt | 25,6 € | 18,9 mil € | há 11 minutos |
Também disponível em Kalshi
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
2a
+4.0pt30%
15%
11%
+18 mais resultados
67 • Qualidade médiaSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total89 mil €
Volume 24h2,1 mil €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration.
- If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
- An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
- If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first.
- If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
- For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA).
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$292 de jul.27d de dados28 de jul.
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This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration.
- If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
- An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
- If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first.
- If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
- For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA).