KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualRobert F. Kennedy Jr. 30%+4.0ptLíder entre 21 opções
Qualidade do mercado
67 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,1 mil €
Liquidez
54,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
12.0% / 14.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
22/05/26, 18:0020/01/29, 15:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Pete Hegseth14%
Comparar plataformas· Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Média | 30% | 0pt | 2,1 mil € | 54,4 mil € | há 14 minutos | |
 Polymarket80% de correspondência · auto | Média | 34% | +4pt | 43,2 € | 104,2 mil € | há 14 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
0.6 pts5m
+0.3pt47%
-0.5pt34%
+4.8pt13%
+26 mais resultados
65 • Qualidade médiaSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total23,6 mil €
Volume 24h43,2 €
POLYMARKETRegras
If Marco Rubio is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
- Acting roles are not included.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$2.4k2 de jul.27d de dados28 de jul.
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If Marco Rubio is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
- Acting roles are not included.