Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
0.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição1m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Democratic Party 55.6%+0.5ptLíder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
70 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
357 €
Liquidez
13,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+18.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
18/08/26, 19:27 UTC3/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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MetaculusPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegras
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the party, between the the named outcome and the the named outcome, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
- If the the named outcome and the the named outcome hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
- This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
- For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Democratic Party é de 56%. As cotações diferem cerca de 1 ponto percentual entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Democratic Party 56% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? · Democratic Party 56%
