Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição3m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Democratic Party 58.3%-1.0ptLíder entre 3 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
70 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
211,8 €
Liquidez
31,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
17/03/26, 14:00 UTC1/01/27, 14:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If Republicans hold more state governorships than Democrats after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:state governments
- For the purposes of this Contract, the total number of governorships held by a party is calculated by counting (i) uncontested governorships (those without a scheduled election in 2026) plus (ii) contested governorships won by that party's candidate as determined under the resolution criteria of the ELECTION contract, including the accelerated provision.
- If neither party holds more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
- If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Democratic Party é de 56%. As cotações diferem cerca de 3 pontos percentuais entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Democratic Party 56% · 2 plataformas · 3 pt de dispersao entre venues
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will hold more governorships after the midterms??
- A Kalshi cota Democratic Party em 58% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? é resolvido?
- Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Republicans hold more state governorships than Democrats after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.