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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Geopolítica
  3. US x China Military clash before 2027?
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

0.5% (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaChina6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 8%+0.0%
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

284,6 €

Liquidez

17,2 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+1.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

14/01/26, 19:1531/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes8%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.