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  3. US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?
US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

9.0% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffIAUS Politics16d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
June 30
June 30 42%+9.0%
Qualidade do mercado

36 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

365,9 €

Liquidez

1,1 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

33.0% / 50.0%

Spread

51.5%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

14/06/26, 0:361/07/26, 3:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

June 3042%

Regras

On June 12, 2026, the US government directed Anthropic to suspend access to Fable 5 for foreign nationals, whether inside or outside the United States (see: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or Anthropic publicly and officially announce that this directive has been rescinded, waived, modified, or otherwise lifted such that blocking public access to Claude Fable 5 for all non-US nationals is no longer directed by the US federal government by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A qualifying announcement must clearly indicate that guidance from the United States federal government no longer directs Anthropic to block public access to Claude Fable 5 for all foreign nationals.
  • A partial lifting of the restriction will qualify, provided it allows renewed public access for at least some non-US nationals.
  • Anthropic announcements that Fable 5 will be released for public access, without announcing qualifying US government guidance, will not count.

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Regras

On June 12, 2026, the US government directed Anthropic to suspend access to Fable 5 for foreign nationals, whether inside or outside the United States (see: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or Anthropic publicly and officially announce that this directive has been rescinded, waived, modified, or otherwise lifted such that blocking public access to Claude Fable 5 for all non-US nationals is no longer directed by the US federal government by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A qualifying announcement must clearly indicate that guidance from the United States federal government no longer directs Anthropic to block public access to Claude Fable 5 for all foreign nationals.
  • A partial lifting of the restriction will qualify, provided it allows renewed public access for at least some non-US nationals.
  • Anthropic announcements that Fable 5 will be released for public access, without announcing qualifying US government guidance, will not count.