PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 98%-0.8pt
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
7,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
1.2% / 3.7%
Spread
2.5 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-0.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
11/08/26, 12:29 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Jair Bolsonaro leaves Brazilian jurisdiction before October 4th 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PredictItBrazilian STF justice removed by impeachment by end of 2027?
FutuurBrazilian corn crop to reach all-time high in 2026/27?
FutuurRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States expels a Brazilian diplomat stationed in the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the United States requiring the Brazilian diplomat to leave the United States, including a declaration of persona non grata.
- Revocation of a diplomat’s visa or denial of entry to the United States will not alone suffice.
- An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercados abertos
Latin AmericaPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 125,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 635,9 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-3.0pt84.3%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+4.8pt13.7%
- Renan Santos-0.5pt1%
+15 mais resultados
POLYMARKETTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt9%
- September 30-1.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 86 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 56,5 mil
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt51.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.0pt42.9%
- Jair Bolsonaro2.9%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,4 mi
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro86.5%
- Delcy Rodríguez-3.0pt11.5%
- María Corina Machado+0.1pt1%
+13 mais resultados
POLYMARKETParaná Governor Election Winner
- Sergio Moro+2.5pt86%
- Sandro Alex-2.5pt14%
- Requião Filho-0.4pt0%
+6 mais resultados
- New Mexico St. vs Hawai'i
- Mercyhurst vs New Mexico
- Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Piauí Governor Election Winner
- Tucuman vs River Plate
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
- Lima Mayoral Election Winner
- Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30??
- A Polymarket cota No em 98% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30? é resolvido?
- US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States expels a Brazilian diplomat stationed in the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.