US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?
9.0% (24h)FedQuarterlyTrade PolicyUS PoliticsGeopolíticaCentral Banks4d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual5%+ 96%+1.0%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
52 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
726,9 €
Liquidez
5,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
68.0% / 74.0%
Spread
8.8%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
23/07/26, 22:0530/07/26, 23:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
5%+96%
Comparar plataformas· 5%+
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Média | 96% | — | 726,9 € | 5,2 mil € | há 5 minutos | |
 Kalshi90% de correspondência · auto | Baixa | 92% | — | 18,5 € | 7,8 mil € | há 25 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Kalshi
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026
1.0%4d
92%
+1.0%71%
14%
+2 mais resultados
44 • Baixa qualidadeSpread amploLiquidez médiaPerto da resolução
Volume total22,2 mil €
Volume 24h18,5 €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 of 2026 is at least equal to or higher than the listed figure.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The total effective tariff rate will be the number reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St.
- Louis in the chart titled: "Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties/Current payments to the rest of the world: Imports of goods*100" for Q2 of 2026.
- This data can be found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e.
- In the event that this data is not published by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$82723 de jul.4d de dados26 de jul.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 of 2026 is at least equal to or higher than the listed figure.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The total effective tariff rate will be the number reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St.
- Louis in the chart titled: "Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties/Current payments to the rest of the world: Imports of goods*100" for Q2 of 2026.
- This data can be found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e.
- In the event that this data is not published by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".