KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualAbove 5.6% 77%+6.0%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
28 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
10,4 €
Liquidez
385,5 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
70.0% / 77.0%
Spread
10.0%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 minutos
19/05/26, 17:304/08/26, 12:29
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Above 5.6%77%
Tendência de volume
$128 de jul.5d de dados25 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
US nominal GDP growth in Q2 2026
0 €Above 0.5%: 93%KALSHI
KALSHI
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?
726,9 €5%+: 96%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
44 €2023: 0.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will rates hit zero in 2026?
0 €Sim: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Lisa Cook departure announced?
0 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?
0 €Sim: 23.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
US inflation falls to 3.5% as Bitcoin rebounds toward $65KCrypto NewsRegras
If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q2 2026 is above 5.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit / Household Debt and Credit Data Bank for Auto Loans in the series “Percent of Balance 90+ Days Delinquent by Loan Type.”
- Use the first value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for Q2 2026.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q2 2026 is above 5.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q2 2026 is above 5.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.