Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?
BlackRockOne-OffFedPolíticaCentral BanksMacro & Economy3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90.3%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado12/01/26, 01:55 UTC15/05/30, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold Markets🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the Federal Reserve's federal funds rate target is set to 0.00% (or a range with 0% as the lower bound, such as 0.00%-0.25%) at any point during the tenure of Jerome Powell's successor as Federal Reserve Chair.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Federal Reserve Board at https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/.
- The market resolves NO if the successor's tenure ends without the rate ever reaching 0%.
- Powell's term as chair expires in May 2026, and the five candidates on the shortlist are Fed governors Chris Waller and Michelle Bowman, former Fed governor Kevin Warsh, NEC Director Kevin Hassett, and BlackRock head of fixed income Rick Rieder.
- The Fed has twice lowered the rate to 0.0% to 0.25%—the first time during the financial crisis of 2008, and the second time in March 2020.
Mercados abertos
BlackRockPerguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 90% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower? é resolvido?
- Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower? deverá ser resolvido em 15 de maio de 2030.
- Como Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria