Quais são as probabilidades atuais de BCI + AI Hivemind before 2050??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 53.1% em 10 de outubro de 2026.

Quando BCI + AI Hivemind before 2050? é resolvido?

BCI + AI Hivemind before 2050? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2049.

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 53.1%

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Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

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Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 43 minutos

2/07/26, 19:29 UTC31/12/49, 23:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Will there exist a population of individuals with BCI and Ai capabilities that act as a hivemind before 2050?

Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if, by December 31, 2049, at 11:59 PM UTC, there is credible, public verification of a group of 4 or more humans who use brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) and artificial intelligence (AI) to function as a "hivemind" or collective intelligence network.
To resolve YES, the following conditions must be met:
BCI & AI Integration: Group members must utilize functional, active brain-computer interfaces (invasive or non-invasive) that are integrated with AI systems.
Direct Cognitive Synchrony: The system must allow direct brain-to-brain or brain-to-AI-to-brain communication, facilitating the pooling of thoughts, sensory data, motor outputs, or decisions without relying on traditional manual or verbal communication (e.g., speaking, typing, or standard screens).