KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualAbove 7.5% 71%+1.0%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
44 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
18,5 €
Liquidez
7,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
64.0% / 73.0%
Spread
14.1%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
4/05/26, 19:0030/07/26, 12:29
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Above 7.5%71%
Comparar plataformas· Above 5%
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral90% de correspondência · auto | Média | 96% | — | 726,9 € | 5,5 mil € | há 10 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Baixa | 92% | — | 18,5 € | 7,8 mil € | há 10 minutos |
Também disponível em Polymarket
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?
9.0%4d
+1.0%96%
+0.5%95%
+9.0%71%
+3 mais resultados
52 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploLiquidez médiaPerto da resolução
Volume total8,4 mil €
Volume 24h726,9 €
POLYMARKETRegras
If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 7.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 12.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$213 de jul.23d de dados26 de jul.
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
10,3 mil €December 31: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETUS charges Hormuz fees by which date?
6,6 mil €December 31: 11%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
5,2 mil €Before 2027: 7%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Ferrari say during their next earnings call?
4,1 mil €Tariff: 70%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will at least 80 percent of solar modules deployed in the US in 2026 be manufactured in the US?
1,8 mil €Sim: 13.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What will Boeing say during their next earnings call?
1,3 mil €Tariff: 25%KALSHI
KALSHIAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.News
Bitcoin slips below $65K as Trump unveils new global tariffsCrypto News
Polymarket 2028 odds stay split as Vance leads 19.95% amid Trump tariff jittersBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices Trump exit by July 31 at 0.25% despite tariff turmoilBlockchain.News
Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk
Russia is legalizing crypto for everyone except RussiansCrypto NewsRegras
If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 7.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 12.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.