PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 52%-14.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
45 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
28,2 €
Liquidez
880,4 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
49.0% / 55.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
-9.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
24/08/26, 23:13 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe.
- If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Mercados abertos
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- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
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- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
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- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
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- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US bank failure by December 31, 2026??
- A Polymarket cota Yes em 52% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US bank failure by December 31, 2026? é resolvido?
- US bank failure by December 31, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como US bank failure by December 31, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").