Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
20.1 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolíticaMiddle East10d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 78%-20.1pt
Qualidade do mercado
80 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
13,9 mil €
Liquidez
19,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
22.3% / 22.4%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+14.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
11/09/26, 19:37 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
US airstrikes Yemen in September?
Manifold MarketsTrump invokes Insurrection Act by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date?
Manifold MarketsIsrael military action against Yemen by which date?
PolymarketSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
PolymarketNATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication.
- This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published.
- If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
