PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 98%+1.6pt
Qualidade do mercado
75 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
2,8 mil €
Liquidez
20,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
0.9% / 2.2%
Spread
1.3 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
16/09/26, 21:59 UTC8/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
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Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly endorses the People's Republic of China's claim of sovereignty over Taiwan by the end of this summit.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To qualify, Trump must make an explicit public statement affirming that Taiwan is part of China, that China has sovereignty over Taiwan, or that the United States supports China's claim to Taiwan.
- Restating the long-standing United States "One China policy", acknowledging that China holds such a position, noting that the United States does not support Taiwanese independence, or declining to say whether the United States would defend Taiwan will not qualify, as none of these constitutes an endorsement of China's claim.
- Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.