Probabilidade implícita atual
Alibaba 22.1%+1.5ptLíder entre 11 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Alibaba 22.1%+1.5ptQualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
28,5 €
Liquidez
2,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+10.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 38 minutos
18/09/26, 00:13 UTC1/12/26, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
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KalshiRegras
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.