PA-09 House Election Winner
0.2 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 202629d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Dan Meuser (R) 97%+0.2pt
Dan Meuser (R) 97%+0.2ptQualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
32 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
95.3% / 98.4%
Spread
3.1 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+0.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
28/01/26, 21:49 UTC4/11/26, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 0,1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Dan Meuser (R) é de 97%. A dispersão entre plataformas é de cerca de 1 ponto percentual.
Referencia CoinRithm Dan Meuser (R) 97% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Kalshi — PA-09 House winner? · Dan Meuser 94%