PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Democrat 98%-0.7ptLíder entre 13 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
37,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.1 pt
Spread moderadoComments
1
Variação 7d
-0.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
13/10/25, 21:353/11/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
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0%
0%
0%
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0%
Regras
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Referencia CoinRithm Jeff Merkley 98% · 2 plataformas · faixa de 0 pt
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Oregon Senate winner? · Jeff Merkley 97%
- Também disponível em Gemini — Oregon US Senate Winner · Jeff Merkley 95%
- Também disponível em Smarkets — Oregon Senate Election Winner · Democrat 97%
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 160,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 845,4 mil
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
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- Volume total
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POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
+29 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 50,3 mi
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Oregon Senate Election Winner?
- A Polymarket cota Democrat em 98% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Oregon Senate Election Winner é resolvido?
- Oregon Senate Election Winner deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Oregon Senate Election Winner é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- Onde mais Oregon Senate Election Winner está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi, Gemini, Smarkets.