Probabilidade implícita atual
Ed Miliband 56%+1.5%Líder entre 37 opções
Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
10,4 mil €
Liquidez
191,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
24.0% / 31.0%
Spread
29.2%
Spread amploVariação 7d
-16.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
23/06/26, 1:4631/12/26, 23:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Ed Miliband56%
Comparar plataformas· Ed Miliband
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Média | 56% | 0pt | 10,4 mil € | 191,8 mil € | há 17 minutos | |
 Kalshi72% de correspondência · auto | Média | 0% | -56pt | 518,1 € | 2,9 mil € | há 17 minutos | Abrir → |
 Smarkets92% de correspondência · verificado | Baixa | 55% | -1pt | 418 € | 0 € | há 17 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Smarkets
Next Foreign Secretary In 2026
55%
7.4%
40 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total3,3 mil €
Volume 24h418 €
SMARKETSTambém disponível em Kalshi
Who will be the next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?
5m
+9.0%20%
-5.0%7%
6%
+3 mais resultados
52 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploLiquidez média
Volume total6,5 mil €
Volume 24h518,1 €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch.
- Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.2k67.0%POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c087há 14 dias
POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c087há 14 diasTendência de volume
$11.8k2 de jul.16d de dados17 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
Next French Presidential Election
226,1 mil €Marine Le Pen: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton by-election Winner
177,1 mil €Nigel Farage: 95%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
56 mil €Andy Burnham: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
6 mil €2025-12-31 / 31st December 2025: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
2,3 mil €Sim: 1.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSNext Chancellor
2,2 mil €Ed Miliband: 3.85%SMARKETS
SMARKETSAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Polymarket odds lift Le Pen to 33% in 2027 French election marketBlockchain.News
OKX Europe lets users convert USDT to MiCA-compliant USDCCointelegraph
Polymarket: Le Pen jumps to 33% in France 2027 race, volume tops $114MBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds put Farage at 96% in Clacton by-election marketBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds put Starmer at 97.65% in 'next leader out' marketBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Le Pen odds jump to 31% in 2027 France race on $112M volumeBlockchain.NewsRegras
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch.
- Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.