Probabilidade implícita atual
David Miliband 6%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
52 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
518,1 €
Liquidez
2,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
3.0% / 5.0%
Spread
66.7%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 30 minutos
9/07/26, 18:438/01/27, 15:00
Tendências
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
David Miliband6%
Comparar plataformas· Ed Miliband
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral72% de correspondência · auto | Média | 55% | -1pt | 9,5 mil € | 172,2 mil € | há 10 minutos | Abrir → |
 KalshiEsta página | Média | 0% | -56pt | 518,1 € | 2,9 mil € | há 30 minutos | |
 Smarkets72% de correspondência · vinculado | Baixa | 55% | -1pt | 418 € | 0 € | há 30 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?
9.0%5m
+0.5%55%
50%
50%
+34 mais resultados
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total245,2 mil €
Volume 24h9,5 mil €
POLYMARKETTambém disponível em Smarkets
Next Foreign Secretary In 2026
55%
40 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total3,3 mil €
Volume 24h418 €
SMARKETSRegras
If No new person formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If David Miliband formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If John Healey formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.2k67.0%POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c087há 14 dias
POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c087há 14 diasTendência de volume
$5929 de jul.9d de dados17 de jul.
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If No new person formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If David Miliband formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If John Healey formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.