Probabilidade implícita atual
Elif Eralp 50%-14.0ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
11,7 mil €
Liquidez
85,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
3
Variação 7d
-25.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
11/08/26, 12:0820/09/26, 23:59
Tendências
0%
Regras
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in.
- Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Elif Eralp é de 50%. As cotações diferem cerca de 5 pontos percentuais entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Elif Eralp 50% · 2 plataformas · 5 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Elif Eralp 45%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next Governing Mayor of Berlin??
- A Polymarket cota Elif Eralp em 50% em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? é resolvido?
- Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Onde mais Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.