PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 98%+0.3pt
Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
394,1 €
Liquidez
19,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
1.5% / 1.9%
Spread
0.4 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
13
Variação 7d
-0.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
8/01/26, 18:10 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
NATO dissolves by 2028
Manifold MarketsEU dissolves before 2027?
PolymarketOPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketThe current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketWill Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- 1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
- 2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty. 3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
- NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695,7 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- € 24,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 294,7 mil
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 291,3 mil
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de NATO dissolves before 2027??
- A Polymarket cota No em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando NATO dissolves before 2027? é resolvido?
- NATO dissolves before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como NATO dissolves before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.