Probabilidade implícita atual
10 26.9%+0.5ptLíder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
65 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
18,9 €
Liquidez
26 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+2.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
20/08/26, 09:12 UTC12/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.
- The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.
- The National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) has never had a political group in the French Senate.
- A political group in the Senate requires a minimum of ten senators.
- This market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by a political group representing the RN as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.
- The seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).