Probabilidade implícita atual
59-61 35%Líder entre 7 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
24,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.4 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+3.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
19/08/26, 19:52 UTC12/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.
- The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.
- This market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by the Groupe Union Centriste as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.
- The seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).
- A group will qualify as the Groupe Union Centriste if it satisfies at least one of the following: - Its official name includes "Union Centriste" or a clear variant thereof; - Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the group; or - It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the Groupe Union Centriste, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
- A group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election??
- A Polymarket cota 59-61 em 35% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election? é resolvido?
- Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election? deverá ser resolvido em 12 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.