PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
4.6M-4.8M 31.7%-8.8ptLíder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
69 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
481,9 €
Liquidez
68,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.5 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+4.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
18/08/26, 14:13 UTC3/11/26, 12:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Michigan Senate Election Winner
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
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- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- € 710,8 mil
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- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
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- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,2 mi
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume total
- € 29,6 mi
- Volume 24h
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
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- Volume total
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POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
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POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Michigan Senate Election: Turnout?
- A Polymarket cota 4.6M-4.8M em 32% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Michigan Senate Election: Turnout é resolvido?
- Michigan Senate Election: Turnout deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Michigan Senate Election: Turnout é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.