Aviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 8 de set. de 2026, 23:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
October 31 4%+0.6pt
Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
7,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
- / 0.1%
Comentários
0
Variação 7d
-0.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
7/07/26, 23:26 UTC1/11/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
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This market resolves to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen’s departure as Member of the National Assembly of France from the 11th constituency of Pas-de-Calais is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The departure will be considered to be announced when Marine Le Pen, the National Assembly of France, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Le Pen has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Member of the National Assembly of France from the 11th constituency of Pas-de-Calais.
- Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position.
- Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
- Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).