PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
<600K 45%+1.0ptLíder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
25 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
17,2 €
Liquidez
266,9 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
76.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
+7.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
18/08/26, 14:15 UTC3/11/26, 12:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Mercados abertos
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
- A Polymarket cota <600K em 45% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) é resolvido?
- Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine.