PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
290K-305K 33%+24.0ptLíder entre 8 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
60 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,2 mil €
Liquidez
12,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+8.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
18/08/26, 14:09 UTC3/11/26, 12:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PolymarketGeorgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PolymarketMaine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PolymarketWill Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
Manifold MarketsWhat Party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate Election
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 691,8 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,1 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,6 mi
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
- A Polymarket cota 290K-305K em 33% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) é resolvido?
- Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.