Probabilidade implícita atual
Chen Yu-jen 92.1%-1.0ptLíder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
78 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
5,6 mil €
Liquidez
40,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
14/08/26, 13:04 UTC28/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsWill China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
