PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 88%-1.1pt
Qualidade do mercado
26 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,6 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
8.3% / 16.6%
Spread
8.3 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
+4.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado19/03/26, 18:0531/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 180,4 mi
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 mais resultados
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31??
- A Polymarket cota No em 88% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? é resolvido?
- Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).